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30+mba-第章

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and interrelated outes in mind。 These are not so much secondary objectives; 
but like inflation are more the effect of mismanagement; bad timing 
210 The Thirty…Day MBA 
or major events in a big economy with which much business is conducted。 
The most important of these concerns include the following。 
Employment vs unemployment 
Government’s stated goal in this respect is to maintain the economy at full 
employment。 That has the benefit of keeping most citizens happy; while 
contributing tax to the general good。 However; if everyone is in a job the 
only way a new or growing business can recruit additional staff is to poach 
from other organizations; usually by offering higher wages。 That in turn 
feeds into inflation; as wage prices; a major ponent of costs; are rising 
without there necessarily being an increase in output。 Also; high employment 
can lead to the ‘jobs for life’ a。。itude prevalent in Japan for so long 
that contributed to its market inefficiencies。 
In practice; governments actually set their policies to achieve an acceptable 
level of unemployment。 In the UK and United States that is around 5 
per cent of the labour force; while in continental Europe between 9 and 10 
per cent has bee the norm。 High unemployment reduces a country’s 
overall GDP through having unproductive workers。 If the unemployed 
also get state welfare; as is the case particularly in continental Europe and 
to a lesser extent the UK; it increases the cost for the country as a whole。 
So maintaining an acceptable rather than full employment is the realistic 
purpose of economic policy and governments have a number of factors and 
figures to keep tabs on to achieve that goal: 
。 Cyclical unemployment: This is the rate of unemployment a。。ributable 
to a stage in the economic cycle。 Typically; during a downturn unemployment 
will be higher than the normal target rate and lower in the 
upswing。 
。 Seasonal unemployment: This occurs at certain times in the year; for 
example; in winter; construction and casual farm workers are more 
likely to be laid off。 
。 Frictional unemployment: This is the result of an economy or geographic 
area within an economy moving from one type of productive 
activity to another。 The shi。。 from employment in coal and steel mining 
to other forms of employment; usually in the service sector; is one such 
shi。。 that Western economies have experienced。 
。 Structural unemployment: This is caused by workers not having the 
skills and businesses not having the technology to meet new demands 
being made on an economy。 
。 Vacancy rate: This measures the number of unfilled jobs at any one 
time。 A high level of unemployment can be partially offset against 
lots of vacancies; as people take time to move from one job to another; 
particularly if that requires moving home。
Economics 211 
One further measure a government can take to influence unemployment 
is to import labour; either through immigration or by accepting seasonal 
workers from overseas。 
The exchange rate 
The rate at which different currencies are traded is their exchange rate; with 
a high rate being viewed as a sign of economic virility。 So…called strong 
rates of exchange mean that citizens and businesses find foreign goods 
and services relatively cheap。 Unfortunately; it also means that foreigners 
find their goods and services expensive and will buy less and seek new 
suppliers in countries with more favourable exchange rates。 
Most countries have their own currency; but not all governments pursue 
the same exchange rate policies and each such policy involves different 
costs and risks: 
。 Managed and ‘not fully convertible’ is when the government exercises 
political and economic control over the exchange rate and the amount of 
its currency that can be moved in or out of the country。 China and India 
are among many countries that fall into this category。 Such constraints 
can mean that a currency drops sharply in value periodically as the 
government of the day tries to hold back international pressures。 
。 Pegged: For the majority of countries which have been anxiously 
seeking ways to promote economic stability and their own prosperity; 
the most favourable way has been to peg the local currency to a major 
convertible currency; such as the euro or US dollar。 This means that 
while the local currency may move up and down against all other world 
currencies; it will remain or at least a。。empt to remain stable against the 
one it is pegged against。 In total; 22 states and territories have a national 
currency that is directly pegged to the euro; including 14 West African 
countries; 3 French Pacific territories; 2 African island countries and 3 
Balkan countries。 
。 Dollarized: This is a slight misnomer as the term is used to describe a 
country that abandons its own currency and adopts the exclusive use 
of the US dollar or another major international currency; such as the 
euro。 The euro; for example; is the official currency in 15 states and 
territories outside the European Union。 In such cases the country in 
question takes on the risks and costs associated with the ‘host’ currency。 
Many of the economies opting for this approach already informally use 
the foreign currency in private and public transactions。 
。 Floating and ‘fully convertible’: These currencies fluctuate as the 
country in question succeeds or fails。 Russia; for example; li。。ed currency 
controls in July 2006 as a sign of economic confidence; making the 
rouble fully convertible。 Now it is more a。。ractive to invest in Russia; 
212 The Thirty…Day MBA 
while Russian businesses can freely; without worry; without any special 
permit or burden; participate in investments overseas。 Barely 8 years 
earlier the country defaulted on its massive domestic debt; devalued 
its currency and wiped out Russians’ savings。 Russia’s macroeconomic 
situation had to bee stable to allow this to happen; which has been 
achieved on the back of large gold reserves; a balanced budget and 
foreign investment that exceeded capital outflows largely on the basis 
of oil and gas exploration activity。 
Balance of payments 
The balance of payments is the difference between all payments ing 
into a country and those going out。 A surplus of payments ing in over 
those going out is said to be favourable and the opposite is unfavourable。 
The balance of payments is divided into two accounts: the current account; 
such as payments for imports; exports; services and transfers of money; 
and capital account payments for physical and financial assets。 
The balance of trade; which is itself a major part of the overall balance 
of payments; is the difference between the value of goods and services exported 
out of a country and those imported into the country。 When imports 
exceed exports a country’s GDP is reduced by that amount (see GDP 
earlier in this chapter)。 Imports and exports are themselves influenced by a 
country’s petitive position; which can be eroded by too high an inflation 
rate; for example; or by having too strong a currency; which encourages 
overseas purchases of goods and services; in
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